An online trading exchange called Intrade has correctly predicted the winners of 11 out of the 12 Academy Awards for the past two years. It got Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, and one of the Best Directors right (2009 was right, 2010 was wrong).
So we thought it might be helpful to share who Intrade is predicting for tonight’s winners, so you can seem like a genius when watching it with your friends! All the predicted winners are in the gallery below as well:
Best Picture, 2012: The Artist, 92.8% chance of winning
Best Actor, 2012: Jean Dujardin (The Artist), 69.9% chance of winning. (George Clooney is second, with an 18.1% chance of winning)
Best Actress, 2012: Viola Davis (The Help), 67% chance of winning. (Meryl Streep from Iron Lady is second, with a 31.5% chance of winning)
Best Supporting Actor, 2012: Christopher Plummer (The Beginners), 94.6% chance of winning
Best Supporting Actress, 2012: Octavia Spencer (The Help), 93.9% chance of winning
Best Director, 2012: Michael Hazanavicius (The Artist), 85% chance of winning
While we’re at it, Rango has a 87.1% chance of winning the Oscar for Best Animated Feature this year.
So in short: The Artist is likely to win at least two major Academy Awards this year (if not three), and The Help has a lock on at least one major Oscar of its own (and possibly two!).
What do you think of these predictions? Who do you have picked to win the Oscars this year?






rose / 937 posts
I’ve never seen any of these movies. I don’t think I’ve ever watched the Oscars either. Boring and long, no thanks. And my preferred genres usually aren’t really included, at least not often.
guest
Ooh. No idea. But I really enjoyed The Artist.
guest
I’ve only seen The Help from the movies noted above, loved it. I’ve heard really good things about The Artist though.
guest
I think The Artist is gimmicky.
guest
The help was amazing! I’m about to watch it again right now with my man.
guest
I don’t know about you guys, but the most talked about incident that has happened on Oscar night so far is Ryan Seacrest having ashes dumped on him by Sacha Baron Cohen as The Little Dictator. You know Sacha Baron Cohen as Borat. Okay, I haven’t watched any of the movies mentioned, but I’m putting my eggs in “The Help.” Viola Davis and Octavia Spencer for the win.
guest
I never even heard about The Artist… haha I’m so out of the loop